In Response to the Pressure Pricing

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Ahad
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Joined: Mon Jul 04, 2022 5:52 am

In Response to the Pressure Pricing

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Text: Deng Yuwen (political commentator, independent scholar, researcher at China Strategic Analysis Think Tank and co-editor-in-chief of China Strategic Analysis Magazine) China's two sessions, which were delayed due to the epidemic, were held on May 21, and Tsai Ing-wen's presidential inauguration on May 20 was only staggered by one day. It was not a coincidence, but a deliberate arrangement. Beijing's purpose was to see Tsai's "520 speech" Are there any radical moves for Taiwan independence, especially legal independence? Tsai Jin (2020) won the President of the Republic of China by a large percentage in January, which means that the majority of Taiwanese people support independence, and Taiwan's good performance in the epidemic has provided it with a rare favorable international environment. Many people, including Taiwanese people Looking forward to Tsai Ing-wen's "May 20 Speech" to declare Taiwan's independence in one step, establish the Republic of Taiwan, and never want China to annex Taiwan. Some people have concluded that even if Taiwan becomes independent, Beijing will not dare to go to war with Taiwan in a state of being left alone due to the epidemic, and the world is holding China accountable and claiming compensation. Fortunately, Tsai Ing-wen has restrained her inner impulse to be independent. In her "520 Speech", in the expression of cross-strait relations, she hides the needle in the softness and sees the rigidity in the softness. On the other hand, he reiterated that when dealing with cross-strait relations, we can only follow the principles of "peace, equality, democracy, and dialogue", not accepting the "one country, two systems" of mainland China, and believe that this is dwarfing Taiwan and undermining the status quo in the Taiwan Strait. This move implies that if Beijing regards "one country, two systems" as a curse in cross-strait relations in the future, it will be Beijing, not Taiwan, that will undermine the status quo in the Taiwan Strait, thus placing the responsibility for Taiwan's independence in the future on the Chinese side. Although Cai's "520 Speech" did not declare de jure independence, he also mentioned Taiwan, the Republic of China, in the conclusion part, and announced that a constitutional revision committee would be established, which is actually a half-step on the road to de jure independence.

She is likely to follow the example of former President Lee Teng-hui, in the name of constitutional revision, to implement the reality of constitution-making and complete the constitutional foundation of Taiwan's legal independence. Some Chinese scholars have warned that in the next four years, Cai will try to use fragmented legislation, constitutional amendments, and disguised constitution-making methods to infinitely approach "de jure Taiwan independence." Xi Jinping has stated many times that if Taiwan touches the red line of mainland China, the two sides of the strait will "shake the earth and the mountains". Tsai Ing-wen's "520 speech" skillfully avoided this situation. However, Beijing was not confused by Tsai, on the contrary, it felt Tsai's persistence and firmness in Taiwan's independence. Li Keqiang's statement on the Taiwan issue in the government work report has already reflected this. Pricing
The Taiwan-related part of this government report is the shortest ever, with only 108 words, and the words "one country, two systems", "1992 consensus" and "peace" that must have been written before have been removed, which greatly surprised the outside world. The official media explained that this is because the report has already included the words "adhering to the main policy and policy of working with Taiwan", and in order to save the report space, it will not be mentioned again. This explanation is very far-fetched. Although this sentence contains the meaning of the above three words, Beijing has never been afraid to repeat the things that it wants to emphasize, such as "four consciousnesses", "four self-confidences", "two It must be emphasized at any meeting that Xi Jinping has never been too much, so the report no longer mentions "one country, two systems", "1992 consensus" and "peace",

indicating that Beijing's thinking towards Taiwan has been adjusted, and it no longer sticks to the previous "peace". system". Beijing is of course aware that the possibility of "reunification" is very rare, but whether it is to appease the Taiwanese people or to make the outside world less hard-line, in the past it always had to recite the "reunification" scriptures, and now it is about reunification. It remains to be seen that "peace and reunification" is no longer mentioned, but at least it shows that Beijing has begun to seriously consider a "non-peaceful" solution to the Taiwan issue. This echoes the voices of the Chinese people. In other words, the upsurge of the voice of civil martial arts has forced Beijing to face up to this popular demand, thus forcing and compressing Beijing's policy options on the Taiwan issue. The public opinion on both sides of the strait is now in a confrontation with reunification and independence. Compared with Tsai Ing-wen, Xi Jinping’s policies seem to be less or not affected by public opinion, but this does not mean that he has no public opinion pressure, especially on the Taiwan issue. Holding high the banner of "reconciliation" will only make public opinion disappointed with Xi and Beijing, and regard him as a "coward", thus undermining the image of Xi and the CCP as defenders of the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation. Under the circumstance that Beijing needs to rely on nationalism to renew its legitimacy, it cannot ignore the popular opinion of the armed forces for a long time, but must reflect it in its policies. Even if it is used as a tool for Taiwan to see, it must play the "military unification" card and force it Taiwan moves to the negotiating table.
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